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No, Fox News and Trump Aren’t Lying About Sweden

Sweden took in more refugees per capita than any other country in Europe in 2015. PHOTO: Getty

By Angry Foreigner | 20 February 2017

ACID MUNCHER — Aftonbladet is probably the biggest newspaper in Sweden. When Donald Trump mentioned what happened “last night in Sweden” they were quick to mock him, and soon followed up with a serious article attempting to debunk Ami Horowitz documentary Stockholm Syndrome.

It’s just a shame it’s full of fallacies.

Let’s begin.

Claim: “Weapons crime and rapes have risen since Sweden opened its borders.”

Aftonbladets reply: In 2015 there were 5 290 reported rapes, a 12 percent decrease compared to 2014.

As you can clearly see in their own linked source, sex crimes have doubled since 2012. They decreased a little in 2014, only to rise again in 2015. So the way they selectively pick and choose here is devious. I’d also like to mention that women’s comfortability with reporting sex crime has actually gone down.

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 Source for diagram is ”Utsatthet och anmälningsbenägenhet brott mot enskild person 2005-2015”, when you open it in Excel scroll to the far right.

Also, please do note that my sources here are the Swedish Crime Councils “safety surveys”. They are generally considered more reliable than reports to the police, and this also means that factors like the definition of rape widening and taking time to apply in court isn’t relevant here. Asking citizens what they’ve experienced and looking at people who dared to report are different things.

Aftonbladet go on to say: According to the authorities 13 percent of the Swedish population was subject to a criminal act in 2015. In comparison with 2014 that’s an increase, but approximately the same as 2005. According to a report from Brå 2015, leathal violence has decreased in Sweden the past years.

Lethal violence has decreased since the 90’s, but attempted murder has increased. (Chart below)

mordforsok_1975_2010

The reason for this appears to be that medical emergency services have gotten better at saving people. And when the media happily reports about drops in violence it’s referring to limited periods of time, where it does indeed drop. Both attempted murders and murders have remained relatively stable the past 10 years though, however in 2014-2015 there was a 29% increase of lethal violence.

What we can see is that since the 90’s there’s less violence towards children, especially within the family, and less alcohol-related deadly violence. But there’s an increase in lethal violence from criminals who seek retribution over beef. The number of crimes with illegal guns have increased, and square-offs have moved out into the streets.

One example of this is the guy who, during a conflict with another criminal, fired a submachine gun in front of a school. Children were running away scared. This isn’t exactly the typical thing you’d see in Sweden 20 years ago.

It’s now more common that perpetrator and victim don’t know each other, and the biggest victims of this type of crime are individuals from ghettos. In 9 years, gun violence has increased by 84%. One study in 2012 showed that 76% of gang members are first- or second generation immigrants.

And in a different article from the very same newspaper, Aftonbladet, they say murders in Sweden are increasing. They interviewed an expert who claimed that what we’re seeing is trend break. 105 victims during 2016 thus far, this number might increase after police finish investigating suspected murders. The official stats from the Crime Council don’t come out until spring.

Also, do note the following statistics from the correctional facility, during 1997-2009, page 28: 47% of prisoners serving long-time sentences were born in Sweden and still Swedish citizens. 13,1% came from a different country but became citizens, and the remainder aren’t Swedish citizens. In other words, 53% of prisoners serving long-time sentences have a foreign background.

In short: The increasing violence poses the biggest threat towards other immigrants living in these rough neighborhoods. Not upper-middle class Swedes.

Claim: “Refugees are behind the rise of crime, but authorities are not disclosing theses facts.”

Aftonbladets reply: There are no statistics to support this statement. When it comes to people being convicted for crimes, Brå does not regularly investigate their ethnicity.

Of course there’s no statistics to support this statement, when the government stopped carrying statistics in 2005. Probably because they didn’t like the results that were showing. The police even got a special code in 2015 to keep all crimes pertaining to migrants secret.

The latest report (from 2005) hinted at severe overrepresentation, immigrants were 5.5 times more likely to be registered as suspects of rape. When the overrepresentation is that high, rapes will increase by a lot as that part of the population grows as well.

Most immigrants don’t rape. But with an overrepresentation like that, they don’t have to in order for a lot of rapes to occur.

Norway and Denmark found similar numbers, and a police report in 2016 showed 80% of sex attacks in bathing houses were by newly arrived migrants.

Aftonbladet goes on to say: On the other hand, there is a report from 2005 that shows that people born outside of Sweden are more likely to be suspects in crimes compared to people being born in Sweden. According to the liberal web site Migrationsinfo.se, it has to do with conditions related to their home country, standard of living in Sweden and discrimination within the court system.

That’s nonsense. BRÅ themselves literally stated on page 21 in their report that after checking for socioeconomical factors the overrepresentation largely remained, meaning that you can’t use segregation or low social status as an excuse anymore.

On page 23 it says that it’s reasonable to assume discrimination might exist, but if so it only accounts for a minor part of the equation. And page 9 explains that registered criminality varies between ethnic groups. Americans, Western Europeans and South-East Asians have the lowest registered crime, while those from the MENA-region have the highest. If racism really was the deciding factor, why aren’t Asians and Indians more prevalent in the statistics?

Claim: “160 000 refugees arrived in Sweden 2016.”

Nope. Aftonbladet point out that in 2016, 30’000 people applied for refugee status but in 2015, 163’000 applied. This is correct, and in 2016, 111,979 people learned the outcome of their applications. […]

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